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Site conditions: flood, ground and weather

The Site conditions block reads three desk-study facts about an event site: how much of each zone sits in a mapped flood area, what the soil is likely to do in wet weather, and the typical weather in the event’s month. Each reading names its source and date and says plainly what it does not cover. It is a starting point for the event safety plan — never a flood risk assessment, a site investigation or a weather forecast.

What Fetch site data reads

The block sits in the event sidebar under 4 · Event. ✅ Checks ▸ ⛰️ Site conditions in the palette and ⛰️ Site conditions in the sidebar's 11 · Analysis & Simulation both bring it into view, opening the side panel and unfolding 4 · Event if they are closed. Opening it reads nothing: before the first fetch it says "Site data not fetched yet", and without a boundary or a map location it says which is missing. Press Fetch site data and our server is asked three things:

It needs a closed site boundary and a map location; without them the readings say "site boundary not drawn" or "no map location" instead. The flood check covers sites up to 5 km a side — the national services return whole flood outlines, so a bigger box would mean an enormous download. A larger site reads "flood not checked: the site is over 5 km a side".

The fetch is one step in the undo history: the per-zone shares, the nations read and the soil reading are saved with the design, so the appendix prints the same figures offline and on another device. The flood outlines themselves are not saved. When a saved design is reopened, the flood map is read again once, quietly, so the shares can follow a zone you move — and if that read fails, a zone moved since the fetch says "flood shares stale" rather than showing an out-of-date share as current. Review and share links never fetch; they show the saved readings.

After the site moves more than 1,000 m, or grows past the box that was fetched, the button reads Fetch again and says why. Nothing re-fetches on its own beyond that one quiet re-read.

The flood extent is not drawn on the plan. The GIS overlay's flood layer is an older, England-only source, so it can disagree with this reading; the Site conditions block is the one the checks use.

Flood: one national map per nation

Each nation publishes its own flood map, and their zones mean different things. Every output names the source that judged each zone and prints that nation's definition beside its shares; the nations are never pooled into one standard.

NationSourceWhat its zones meanDate shown
EnglandEA Flood Map for Planning (Flood Zones 2 and 3, rivers and sea) — Environment Agency, Open Government LicenceFlood Zone 3: a 1 % (1 in 100) or greater annual chance of flooding from rivers, or 0.5 % (1 in 200) or greater from the sea. Flood Zone 2: between that and 0.1 % (1 in 1,000), and recorded flood outlines. Present day, ignoring the benefit of defences. The flood zones indicate flood risk to an area of land; they are not suitable for showing whether an individual property is at risk (EA).The EA service carries no date, so the date comes from our own Data sources register, printed as "(our register, checked <date>)"
WalesNRW Flood Map for Planning (rivers and sea) — Natural Resources Wales, DataMapWales, Open Government LicenceFlood Zone 3: a 1 % (1 in 100) or greater annual chance of flooding from rivers, or 0.5 % (1 in 200) from the sea. Flood Zone 2: below that down to 0.1 % (1 in 1,000). Both include an allowance for climate change and assume no defences. Unlike England's present-day zones, Wales's look ahead, so a Welsh Flood Zone 3 warning says so.The features' own publication date
ScotlandSEPA Flood Maps v3.0 (river and coastal) — SEPA, Open Government LicenceHigh likelihood: a 10-year return period; Medium: 200-year; Low: 1,000-year. Our mapping: High or Medium in the higher role, Low in the lower — SEPA's bands are not flood zones. Scottish areas are always printed with SEPA's band names ("SEPA Medium likelihood"), never as "Flood Zone 3".The service's own issue date
Northern IrelandNone wiredAlways "not checked: Northern Ireland flood data not available" — never 0 %.—

The SEPA mapping is ours. A SEPA likelihood band is not an English flood zone. To give Scottish sites the same checks, High or Medium likelihood takes the higher role and Low the lower; every Scottish line says "(our mapping)".

What the shares mean

For every event zone and car park the block shows the share in the higher zone (Flood Zone 3, or SEPA High + Medium) and the share in the lower one only (Flood Zone 2 alone, or SEPA Low). The shares are estimated by sampling points across the zone — up to 4,000 a zone (ours) — so they are a grid estimate, not a survey: the flood outlines are simplified to about 2 m before sampling, and the share is printed to the nearest per cent. A sliver of Flood Zone 3 too small to round to 1 % prints as "< 1 %" and still counts: no zone with a hit ever reads 0 %.

When flood was not checked

A reading that could not be made says so, by name — it is never shown as "no flood zone":

Not assessed

Not assessed, in any nation: surface-water flooding. The readings are rivers and sea (and SEPA's river and coastal maps) only. Nor do they cover live warnings: sign up to the EA Flood Warnings service (or its Welsh and Scottish equivalents) and watch the Met Office's weather warnings in event week. Northern Ireland is not assessed at all. The appendix lists all of these under "Not assessed".

Ground: soil and drainage

The ground reading comes from one of two sources, and the block says which:

The caveats, which travel with every reading

The waterlogging reading is ours

Neither source says "waterlogging"; reading their classes as a wet-weather risk is our interpretation, labelled so on every finding:

SourceClassOur reading
LandIS Soilscapes drainageImpeded drainage, Slightly impeded drainage, Naturally wet, Surface wetnessSlow-draining — waterlogging risk in wet weather
LandIS Soilscapes drainageFreely drainingFreely draining
LandIS Soilscapes drainageVariableDrainage varies within the unit — check the ground on site
BGS parent material textureClay, silt or peatSlow-draining parent material likely
BGS parent material textureSand or chalkFree-draining parent material likely
BGS parent material textureLoamIntermediate drainage likely

Where the reading is slow-draining (or variable), the ground note adds two controls: car parks on grass need trackway or a wet-weather alternative (HSE's event-safety Transport page lists hardcore, metal trackway or temporary surfaces for routes that deteriorate in bad weather — linking it to the soil reading is ours), and the emergency route needs a surface for 12.5 t along its whole length (the gov.uk open-air events fire guide). Where peat is mapped, a separate warning says bearing capacity is likely to be low for structures and vehicles — ours, so it warns at most. A texture the source is unsure of starts "Texture uncertain —".

Typical weather: a 30-year average, not a forecast

Nothing here is a forecast. Every weather figure in this app is the 1991–2020 average for the calendar month your event falls in. It tells you what that month is usually like; it says nothing at all about your week. Watch the forecast and the Met Office National Severe Weather Warning Service in event week — this app does not read them, and builds no forecast feature of any kind.

The month comes from the event date (4 · Event). With no date set, the block says “set the event date to see the typical weather for the month” and shows no figures — it never falls back to today’s month or to an annual average. Where the build, live and derig days run into a second month, the block names both and says which month’s figures it is showing; that choice is ours.

Where the figures come from

They come from the Met Office UK and regional series (areal values from HadUK-Grid 1 km) — the Met Office’s published UK and regional series, under the Open Government Licence. Those files are themselves HadUK-Grid 1 km observations averaged over a region, so this is the same observational data as the grid, read at a coarser place. The honest limitation is how local it is — a regional mean, not your field — and which variables it carries. It is not weaker data.

In the seriesNot in the series
Rainfall; rain days of 1 mm or more; mean daily maximum and minimum temperature; mean temperature; sunshine; air-frost daysWind, rain days of 10 mm or more, and summer days. Each is shown as “not in this source” — never as 0.

Our own reading of the files is labelled wherever it appears: the 1991–2020 monthly mean is computed by us from the yearly rows (a month missing more than two of its thirty years is shown as not available rather than averaged), the units are ours because the Met Office pages state the quantity and not the unit, and the rounding is ours.

Which series your site reads, and how it was chosen

The Met Office regions are the Met Office’s own, not the ONS regions a postcode returns, and no boundary file for them is published. So the app maps one to the other with a fixed table that is ours, and every output says which series was used and how it was picked:

ONS region of the nearest postcodeMet Office series read
North EastEngland E and NE
Yorkshire and The HumberEngland E and NE
North WestEngland NW and N Wales
East MidlandsMidlands
West MidlandsMidlands
East of EnglandEast Anglia
LondonEngland SE and Central S
South EastEngland SE and Central S
South WestEngland SW and S Wales

The 5 km HadUK-Grid is not loaded in this build

The Met Office’s HadUK-Grid 5 km monthly 1991–2020 averages (v1.3.2.ceda) would give a 5 km cell over your site rather than a regional mean, and adds wind, 10 mm rain days and summer days. It is open data under the Open Government Licence (DOI 10.5285/a7947ae607fd4be8994b940eebca8872), but downloading it needs a registered CEDA account and an access token, and the licence requires the catalogue record’s own citation to be used. Neither the files nor that citation is in this build, so no reading uses the grid and the app says so instead of implying otherwise. We never invent a citation, and we never assemble one from the DOI.

Gusts, thunder and hail are in none of this data. HadUK-Grid has no gust, thunder or hail variable, and neither has the regional series. Where a wind figure does exist it is a monthly mean 10 m wind, which is not a gust and must never be read as one.

Wind and structures

With tents, stage roofs or towers on the plan, the checks add a Wind and structures note. It lists what is drawn, the month’s mean wind where the source has one, and HSE’s own words — take account of foreseeable wind loading and of ground strength and slope; where the completed structure is susceptible to the weather, monitor and measure the local conditions; in adverse conditions know what to do with the equipment to protect its stability.

This app holds no wind speed for tents, stage roofs or towers, and HSE’s pages on them publish none. (The one wind figure elsewhere in the app is HSE’s own limit for play inflatables, from a different page.) Each structure’s operating wind speed is the supplier’s or manufacturer’s figure, from its own documentation — the note points you at it and never states one. IStructE Temporary demountable structures (4th ed.), BS EN 13782:2015 and the MUTA guide set out the design and operation of temporary structures; they are paywalled and we have not read them, so they are named here only so you know where to look, and they are not attributed to HSE.

The tower exclusion zone

For each tower on the plan (front-of-house, delay and lighting towers) the checks draw a circle of 1.5 × the tower’s height and note what live it reaches: the crowd zones (arena, entry, bars & traders, campsite), welfare areas, safer areas, car parks and tented structures. Production and backstage areas are not tested, and a note that finds nothing names exactly what it tested. That multiplier is HSE’s, from “Outdoor equipment to support speaker clusters, lights etc” (updated 12 October 2024), and it is conditional: HSE says such a zone may be prudent where no adverse-weather arrangements are in place. Drawing it as a circle, testing it against the zones that are live, and taking the height from the object you placed are ours.

When the weather was not checked

As with flood and ground, a reading that could not be made says so by name, and the same words appear in the block, the appendix and the cover row: set the event date; no map location; site boundary not drawn; not fetched yet; offline; the weather service did not answer; the site is outside the area the Met Office series covers; the site could not be placed in a UK nation; the weather service’s answer could not be read; or the weather dataset could not be read. None of them is ever shown as a zero.

Credits

Each source's credit is printed wherever its reading shows — in the block, in the appendix and on Sources and what is ours:

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